Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.142301 0.152352 0.162788 0.174442 0.187108 0.200471 0.215654
2025-04-20 0.123980 0.138591 0.154559 0.173362 0.194963 0.219085 0.248170
2025-04-27 0.116151 0.133682 0.153525 0.177758 0.206707 0.240367 0.282737
2025-05-04 0.107673 0.126780 0.149009 0.176956 0.211402 0.252789 0.306765
2025-05-11 0.100440 0.120552 0.144497 0.175355 0.214427 0.262730 0.327711
2025-05-18 0.094042 0.114764 0.139939 0.173095 0.216085 0.270601 0.346021
2025-05-25 0.091645 0.113678 0.140982 0.177724 0.226512 0.289981 0.380321
2025-06-01 0.086632 0.108923 0.137008 0.175487 0.227615 0.296922 0.398001
2025-06-08 0.082396 0.104903 0.133698 0.173820 0.229206 0.304373 0.416575
2025-06-15 0.077490 0.099736 0.128580 0.169367 0.226611 0.305728 0.426293
2025-06-22 0.074061 0.096353 0.125643 0.167673 0.227648 0.312072 0.443453
2025-06-29 0.071983 0.094676 0.124896 0.168914 0.232804 0.324454 0.470221
2025-07-06 0.068439 0.090909 0.121203 0.165937 0.231891 0.328168 0.484432
2025-07-13 0.065816 0.088316 0.119035 0.165041 0.233978 0.336461 0.506375
2025-07-20 0.065009 0.088209 0.120325 0.169179 0.243716 0.356802 0.548839
2025-07-27 0.062752 0.085934 0.118396 0.168423 0.245909 0.365501 0.572755
2025-08-03 0.060428 0.083462 0.116061 0.166914 0.246801 0.372106 0.593487
2025-08-10 0.058078 0.080856 0.113414 0.164783 0.246559 0.376795 0.611135
2025-08-17 0.057679 0.081086 0.114956 0.169148 0.256849 0.399200 0.661284
2025-08-24 0.055563 0.078683 0.112446 0.167039 0.256498 0.403816 0.679850
2025-08-31 0.053709 0.076605 0.110342 0.165467 0.256918 0.409698 0.701043
2025-09-07 0.051293 0.073593 0.106701 0.161267 0.252730 0.407380 0.706690
2025-09-14 0.049649 0.071705 0.104723 0.159670 0.252837 0.412514 0.726759